1. Gabatarwa & Bayyani
Wannan binciken, wanda aka gabatar a Taron Aikin Bincike na Ƙungiyar Simulashin 2010 (SW10), ya bincika wata muhimmiyar tambaya a cikin tsarin simulashin: ta yaya nau'ikan simulashin daban-daban ke wakiltar halayen ɗan adam, kuma shin suna samar da sakamako masu ma'ana daban-daban? Binciken ya kwatanta musamman tsarin Simulashin Tarihi na Discrete (DES) na gargajiya da wani tsari mai haɗaka wanda ya haɗa DES da Simulashin Tushen Wakili (ABS) don tsara duka halayen ma'aikata mai amfani da hankali da mai tsinkaya a cikin wani tsari mai rikitarwa wanda ya fi dacewa da ɗan adam—dakin gwada tufafi na mata a cikin wani babban kantin sayar da kayayyaki na Burtaniya.
Babban manufar ita ce kimanta tasirin tsarin halayen mai tsinkaya (ma'aikatan ɗaukar mataki) tare da halayen mai amfani da hankali (ma'aikatan amsa buƙatu) akan aikin tsarin simulashin, da kuma tantance ko hanyar DES/ABS mai rikitarwa ta ba da fahimta daban-daban sosai fiye da ingantaccen tsarin DES.
2. Hanyoyin Simulashin a cikin OR
Takardar ta sanya aikinta a cikin manyan hanyoyin simulashin Binciken Aiki (OR) guda uku.
2.1 Simulashin Tarihi na Discrete (DES)
DES yana tsara tsarin a matsayin jerin abubuwan da suka faru a kan lokaci. Yanayin tsarin yana canzawa ne kawai a cikin maki na yanki a lokacin da wani abu ya faru. Yana da mahimmanci ga tsari, mai kyau don tsarin tsarin jeri, rabon albarkatu, da aikin aiki. A cikin tsarin halayen ɗan adam, ana wakiltar mutane sau da yawa a matsayin ƙungiyoyi masu wucewa ta hanyoyin aiki.
2.2 Simulashin Tushen Wakili (ABS)
ABS yana tsara tsarin daga ƙasa zuwa sama, wanda ya ƙunshi wakilai masu cin gashin kansu, masu hulɗa. Kowane wakili yana da nasa dokoki, halaye, da yuwuwar manufofi. Yana da mahimmanci ga ƙungiya, mai dacewa don tsarin bambance-bambance, daidaitawa, koyo, da rikitattun hulɗa tsakanin mutane. Yana ɗaukar halayen mai tsinkaya, mai manufa ta dabi'a.
2.3 Simulashin Tsarin Tsarin (SDS)
SDS yana mai da hankali kan matakin tarawa na martani da tsarin jari da kwarara. Ya dace don dabarun, binciken manufofi na babban matakin amma an lura cewa bai dace ba don tsarin bambance-bambancen matakin mutum ɗaya da hali, wanda shine abin da wannan binciken ya fi mayar da hankali.
4. Haɓaka Model & Ƙirar Gwaji
4.1 Tsarin Gine-ginen Model na DES
Tsarin DES na gargajiya ya wakilci abokan ciniki da ma'aikata a matsayin ƙungiyoyi. An tsara halayen ma'aikatan mai tsinkaya ta amfani da dabaru na sharadi da masu canjin yanayi a cikin tsarin aiki. Misali, mai canjin yanayi na "yanayin ma'aikata" zai iya haifar da wani tsari na "gudanar da jeri mai tsinkaya" idan tsayin jerin ya wuce wani bakin kofa.
4.2 Tsarin Gine-ginen Model na Haɗakar DES/ABS
Tsarin haɗakar ya yi amfani da tsarin DES don gabaɗayan tsarin aiki (zuwa, jeri, amfani da albarkatu) amma ya aiwatar da ma'aikata a matsayin wakilai masu cin gashin kansu. Kowane wakili na ma'aikata yana da saitin dokoki da ke tafiyar da halayensa, gami da dabaru na yanke shawara na lokacin da zai canza daga yanayin m zuwa yanayin shiga tsakani mai tsinkaya dangane da yanayin muhalli da aka gane (tsayin jeri, lokacin jiran abokin ciniki).
4.3 Dabarar Tabbatarwa & Ingantawa
Dukansu model sun bi daidaitaccen tabbatarwa (tabbatar da cewa model yana aiki kamar yadda ake nufi) da ingantawa (tabbatar da cewa yana wakiltar ainihin tsarin daidai). Wata muhimmiyar dabarar ingantawa da aka yi amfani da ita ita ce binciken hankali, gwada yadda sakamakon model ya canza dangane da bambance-bambance a cikin mahimman ma'auni (misali, ƙimar shiga tsakani mai tsinkaya, lambobin ma'aikata).
7. Cikakkun Bayanai na Fasaha & Tsarin Lissafi
Yayin da taƙaitaccen PDF bai ba da cikakkun bayanai na takamaiman dabarun lissafi ba, tsarin zai haɗa da ka'idar jeri da rarraba yuwuwar. Wani sauƙaƙan wakilcin doka mai tsinkaya a cikin duka model zai iya zama:
Doka ta Shiga Tsakani Mai Tsinkaya (Pseudo-Logic):
IDAN (Yanayin_Ma'aikata == "Maras aiki" KO "Akwai") KUMA (Tsayin_Jeri > Bakin_Kofa_L) KUMA (Bazuwar(0,1) < Yuwuwar_P) TO
Ƙaddamar da_Aikin_Mai_Tsinkaya() // misali, tsara jeri, taimaka wa abokan ciniki masu jira
Yanayin_Ma'aikata = "Mai Tsinkaya"
Tsawon Lokaci = Samfurin_Rarraba(Rarraba_Lokacin_Mai_Tsinkaya)
ƘARSHE IDAN
A cikin DES, wannan shine binciken sharadi a cikin tsarin ma'aikata. A cikin ABS, wannan doka wani ɓangare ne na saitin doka na wakili na ma'aikata, mai yiwuwa a kimanta shi akai-akai ko a wuraren yanke shawara. Babban bambancin lissafi ba a cikin doka kanta ba amma a cikin tsarin aiwatar da ita—tsarin aiki na tsakiya da kimanta wakili na rarraba.
Ma'auni na aiki kamar matsakaicin lokacin jira ($W_q$) da amfani da tsarin ($\rho$) ana ƙididdige su iri ɗaya a cikin duka model:
$W_q = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{N} (T_{i,fara aikin} - T_{i,zuwa})$
$\rho = \frac{\text{Jimlar Lokacin Aiki na Ma'aikata}}{\text{Jimlar Lokacin Simulashin}}$
Sharhin Manazarta: Duban Gaskiya Mai Amfani
Mahimmin Fahimta: Wannan takarda tana ba da gaskiya mai mahimmanci, wacce ake yawan rasa a cikin simulashin: rikitarwar model ba ta da nagarta a cikinta. Haɗakar DES/ABS, yayin da yake da salon ilimi don tsara halayen ɗan adam, ya kasa samar da fahimta daban-daban masu ma'ana na aiki fiye da ingantaccen tsarin DES na gargajiya da aka ƙera don wannan takamaiman iyakar matsalar. Ainihin ƙimar ba ta cikin gine-ginen tushen wakili ba, amma a cikin ƙayyadaddun ƙirar dabaru na halayen mai tsinkaya.
Kwararar Hankali: Binciken yana bin ingantacciyar hanyar OR na gargajiya: ayyana hali (mai amfani da hankali/mai tsinkaya), zaɓi shari'ar da ta dace (dakin gwada tufafi na kantin sayar da kayayyaki), gina kwatankwacin model (DES da DES/ABS), gudanar da gwaje-gwajen da aka sarrafa, da kuma amfani da gwaje-gwajen ƙididdiga (mai yiwuwa t-tests ko ANOVA) don kwatanta abubuwan fitowa. Ƙarfinsa yana cikin wannan daidaitaccen kwatankwacin, mataki da yawa ya ɓace a cikin takardun da ke ba da fifiko ga wata hanyar fiye da wata.
Ƙarfi & Kurakurai: Ƙarfin binciken shine tsarinsa na aiki, tushen shaida. Yana ƙalubalantar zato cewa "mafi cikakken bayani" (ABS) koyaushe "mafi kyau." Duk da haka, laifinsa yana cikin sauƙin halayen mai tsinkaya da aka tsara—sauƙaƙan dokoki na tushen bakin kofa. Kamar yadda aka lura a cikin wallafe-wallafen ABS na baya, kamar aikin akan gine-ginen fahimi (misali, ACT-R, SOAR) da aka haɗa tare da wakilai, ainihin ƙarfin ABS yana fitowa tare da koyo, daidaitawa, da rikitattun hulɗar zamantakewa, waɗanda ba a gwada su a nan ba. Binciken ya kwatanta "DES mai hankali" da "ABS mai sauƙi," mai yuwuwar rage ƙimar yuwuwar na ƙarshe.
Bayanai Masu Aiki: Ga masu aiki: Fara da DES. Kafin saka hannun jari a cikin haɓakawa da ƙarin lissafi na tsarin ABS, gwada sosai idan ingantaccen tsarin DES zai iya ɗaukar mahimman dabaru na yanke shawara. Yi amfani da binciken hankali don bincika dokokin hali. Ajiye ABS don matsalolin da bambance-bambance, daidaitawa, ko tasirin hanyar sadarwa suke ainihin tambayoyin bincike, ba kawai himma na mutum ɗaya ba. Wannan ya yi daidai da ka'idar taƙaitawa—mafi sauƙin isasshen model shine mafi kyau sau da yawa.